© K. Douka,  T. Higham, E. Mastora

We have had a lot of feedback and interest about our blog post from a couple of weeks ago and the issue of the dating of early modern humans at the site of Ksar Akil, so we thought we would look a bit more at the recent modeling in the PNAS paper of Bosch et al. We should say from the outset that we are hoping to write a reply to the paper but after discovering that PNAS will allow only 500 words and no images, we are thinki...

 

Bayesian statistical modelling is an increasingly widely used method in chronometric analysis in archaeology and environmental science. Like most statistical techniques, it must be used cautiously and carefully, with the users being adequately trained. Inputing the wrong prior data in a Bayesian framework can result in outputs that are wrong and misleading.

 

Over the last few years we have seen several cases where the authors of...

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